inception-app-prod/ODc3Y2E5ZGItYThiNi00Y2UzLTg5MmYtNWQ2Yzk5MzcyYmUx/content/2021/05/BarrentineGroupLogo_2021-02.png
inception-app-prod/ODc3Y2E5ZGItYThiNi00Y2UzLTg5MmYtNWQ2Yzk5MzcyYmUx/content/2020/07/kwluxurylogo.png
  • Meet Our Team
  • Our Blog
  • Listings Search
    • Featured Listings
  • Seller and Buyer Resources
    • Seller Resources
    • Buyer Resources
  • Testimonials
  • Giving
  • Videos
  • Contact us
Barrentine Group
310.276.6656
info@barrentinegroup.com
Sign In
Sign Up
inception-app-prod/ODc3Y2E5ZGItYThiNi00Y2UzLTg5MmYtNWQ2Yzk5MzcyYmUx/content/2021/05/BarrentineGroupLogo_2021-02.png
inception-app-prod/ODc3Y2E5ZGItYThiNi00Y2UzLTg5MmYtNWQ2Yzk5MzcyYmUx/content/2020/07/kwluxurylogo.png
  • Meet Our Team
  • Our Blog
  • Listings Search
    • Featured Listings
  • Seller and Buyer Resources
    • Seller Resources
    • Buyer Resources
  • Testimonials
  • Giving
  • Videos
  • Contact us
inception-app-prod/ODc3Y2E5ZGItYThiNi00Y2UzLTg5MmYtNWQ2Yzk5MzcyYmUx/content/2021/05/BarrentineGroupLogo_2021-02.png
inception-app-prod/ODc3Y2E5ZGItYThiNi00Y2UzLTg5MmYtNWQ2Yzk5MzcyYmUx/content/2020/07/kwluxurylogo.png
inception-app-prod/ODc3Y2E5ZGItYThiNi00Y2UzLTg5MmYtNWQ2Yzk5MzcyYmUx/content/2021/11/3aad84b753c6932ae38b1bc164c4bc4f82f76a16.jpg
Housing Market Updates

Why a Wave of Foreclosures Is Not on the Way

inception-app-prod/ODc3Y2E5ZGItYThiNi00Y2UzLTg5MmYtNWQ2Yzk5MzcyYmUx/content/2021/05/RedGroupLogo_Circle-01.png
Barrentine Group,11/4/2021

With forbearance plans coming to an end, many are concerned the housing market will experience a wave of foreclosures similar to what happened after the housing bubble 15 years ago. Here are a few reasons why that won’t happen.

There are fewer homeowners in trouble this time

After the last housing crash, about 9.3 million households lost their homes to a foreclosure, short sale, or because they simply gave it back to the bank.

As stay-at-home orders were issued early last year, the fear was the pandemic would impact the housing industry in a similar way. Many projected up to 30% of all mortgage holders would enter the forbearance program. In reality, only 8.5% actually did, and that number is now down to 2.2%.

As of last Friday, the total number of mortgages still in forbearance stood at  1,221,000. That’s far fewer than the 9.3 million households that lost their homes just over a decade ago.

Most of the mortgages in forbearance have enough equity to sell their homes

Due to rapidly rising home prices over the last two years, of the 1.22 million homeowners currently in forbearance, 93% have at least 10% equity in their homes. This 10% equity is important because it enables homeowners to sell their homes and pay the related expenses instead of facing the hit on their credit that a foreclosure or short sale would create.

The remaining 7% might not have the option to sell, but if the entire 7% of those 1.22 million homes went into foreclosure, that would total about 85,400 mortgages. To give that number context, here are the annual foreclosure numbers for the three years leading up to the pandemic:

  • 2017: 314,220
  • 2018: 279,040
  • 2019: 277,520

The probable number of foreclosures coming out of the forbearance program is nowhere near the number of foreclosures that impacted the housing crash 15 years ago. It’s actually less than one-third of any of the three years prior to the pandemic.

The current market can absorb listings coming to the market

When foreclosures hit the market back in 2008, there was an oversupply of houses for sale. It’s exactly the opposite today. In 2008, there was over a nine-month supply of listings on the market. Today, that number is less than a three-month supply. Here’s a graph showing the difference between the two markets.Why a Wave of Foreclosures Is Not on the Way | MyKCM

Bottom Line

The data indicates why Ivy Zelman, founder of the major housing market analytical firm Zelman and Associates, was on point when she stated:

“The likelihood of us having a foreclosure crisis again is about zero percent.”

Print Details
Previous post
Next post
Experts Project Mortgage Rates Will Continue To Rise in 2022
Numbers Don’t Lie – It’s Still a Great Time To Sell [INFOGRAPHIC]

Office

Keller Williams Larchmont | Miracle Mile5150 Wilshire Blvd, Ground FloorLos Angeles, CA 90036
CalDRE License # 01207185
310.276.6656
info@barrentinegroup.com

Helpful resources

  • Home
  • Meet Our Team
  • Client Testimonials
  • Giving

Explore

  • Listings Search
  • Featured Listings
  • Buyer Resources
  • Seller Resources

Consumer Protection & Privacy

  • Accessibility
  • DMCA Compliance
For ADA assistance, please email compliance@placester.com. If you experience difficulty in accessing any part of this website, email us, and we will work with you to provide the information.
inception-app-prod/ODc3Y2E5ZGItYThiNi00Y2UzLTg5MmYtNWQ2Yzk5MzcyYmUx/content/2021/05/RedGroupLogo_2021-02%281%29.png
inception-app-prod/ODc3Y2E5ZGItYThiNi00Y2UzLTg5MmYtNWQ2Yzk5MzcyYmUx/content/2020/07/logo-2.png

© 2022 All rights reserved

Created with Placester

Sign in

Sign in with your email address

Sign In
Forgot your password?
Create an account
You have been successfully logged in
The page will reload automatically.
Go to the homepage
Sorry something went wrong
Login or password are incorrect. Please try again.
Try again

Sign Up

Sign Up
Already a User? Sign In
You have been successfully registered
Please check your email.
Go to the homepage
Sorry something went wrong
Please try again.
Try again

Reset password

Enter your email address

Reset password
Return to Log In
Reset password email has been sent.
Go to the homepage
Sorry something went wrong
Please try again.
Try again

Change password

Change password
Your password has been successfully reset.
Go to the homepage
Sorry something went wrong
Please try again.
Try again
Send
Succes! Your message was sent!
Thank you for visiting RED Real Estate Group. "Helping you make wise real estate decisions"
Back to homepage
Oops! Error occurred.
Please try again.
Back to form
Already a User? Sign In

Account verification in progress

Please wait...

Account Verified!

You may now log in into your account
Go to the homepage

Verify your email address

In order to log in to your account, you need to confirm your email address. Please check your inbox!
Go to the homepage

Share this listing

Copy Link